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Posted by Titix on June 9, 2008, 5:53 pm
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> On Sun, 8 Jun 2008, Painius wrote:
>
> >
> >
> > From alt.astronomy...
> >
> > IMO, if Clinton had won the primary, Obama supporters
> > for the most part would have had no problem supporting
> > Clinton against McCain. But a significant number of
> > Clinton supporters will hang in and write her name on the
> > ballot, giving McCain a deciding edge. Obama doesn't
> > have a chance in hell of beating McCain, whereas Clinton
> > would have given McCain a good fight, and perhaps would
> > have beaten him to become the next president.
>
> mccain got roughly 9.5 million votes. (
>
http://us-president.suite101.com/article.cfm/final_total_primary_popular_votes)
> Hillary got roughly (not counting Fl and Michigan) 16.378,895 million
> votes and Obama 16,579,895. This means if half of Hillary's supporters
> voted for mccain he would get about 17 million votes - now lets say
> a quarter of the remaining stay home and only a quarter of Hillary's votes
> go to Obama, Obama would still win the popular vote with about 20 million
> (beating mcain by about 3 million votes). While this is popular votes I
> believe you would be hard pressed to give a scenerio where mccain loses by
> 3 million votes and still takes the presidency.
>
> I also find it unlikely that only a quarter of people who voted for
> Hillary would vote for Obama. Nor do I believe a full half of Hillary's
> supporters would vote for mccain - so Obama's popular lead will be even
> greater than the 3 million shown above.
>
> --
> Randomly generated signature
> The pen is mightier than the sword, until it runs out of ink.
> ** Posted from http://www.teranews.com **
I agree with what you said, but I think Obama will get way more than 3
million
votes more than McCain. I don't think the seniors will vote for McCain when
they
hear that he wants to privatize their Social Security. And Obama wants to do
away with taxing seniors with less than $50,000 income. Those seniors in FL
and
elsewhere will vote for Obama in multitudes.
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